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NHL
Final

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Tampa Bay Lightning

Final board state

Published Angles

3

Sportsbooks

5

Markets

3

Scoreboard

Toronto Maple Leafs2
Tampa Bay Lightning4

Board Snapshot

5 sportsbooks with current prices
3 tracked betting markets
3 public model angles on this matchup

Published Predictions

Public angles for this game, ranked by confidence.

Verified track record

Thu, Feb 26, 12:41 AM

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Tampa Bay Lightning

Strong +EVloss
NHL

spread

Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5

Best odds: -110

Confidence

75%

+43.18% EV

Model: 75%
Market: 52.4%
Edge: +22.62%

Toronto Maple Leafs has superior goal differential. Toronto Maple Leafs has goaltending advantage. Toronto Maple Leafs has power play advantage. Toronto Maple Leafs on 3-game win streak. [Model: nhl-statistical-v1]

Thu, Feb 26, 12:41 AM

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Tampa Bay Lightning

Strong +EVloss
NHL

moneyline

Toronto Maple Leafs

Best odds: +183.6666666666667

Confidence

70%

+98.57% EV

Model: 70%
Market: 35.3%
Edge: +34.75%

Model gives Toronto Maple Leafs 66.6% win probability. finding 31.3% value vs market. significant standings disparity. Toronto Maple Leafs has goaltending edge. [Model: nhl-statistical-v1]

Thu, Feb 26, 12:41 AM

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Tampa Bay Lightning

Strong +EVwin
NHL

total

Under 6.2

Best odds: -110

Confidence

66%

+26% EV

Model: 66%
Market: 52.4%
Edge: +13.62%

model projects 6.0 total vs market 6.2. [Model: nhl-statistical-v1]

Odds by Market

Compare the board across spreads, moneyline, and totals for this matchup.

Spread

SportsbookTampa Bay LightningToronto Maple Leafs
BetMGM
-2.5-190
+2.5+140
Bovada
-3+120
+3-155
DraftKings
-2.5-175
+2.5+135
FanDuel
-2.5-188
+2.5+142
MyBookie
-2.5-182
+2.5+130

Moneyline

SportsbookTampa Bay LightningToronto Maple Leafs
BetMGM
-2000
+875
Bovada
-1600
+750
DraftKings
-1950
+950
FanDuel
-2500
+900
MyBookie
-2000
+825

Totals

SportsbookOverUnder
BetMGM
+4.5-210
+4.5+154
Bovada
+5-115
+5-115
DraftKings
+4.5-195
+4.5+150
FanDuel
+4.5-205
+4.5+154
MyBookie
+5-154
+5+110